7. Dating
the Beginning of the Great Migration
One of the things that's also very interesting is that unlike
most social changes of this kind of magnitude it can be located
chronologically with considerable specificity. Even though you'll
often see something like 1910 to 1960, or something like that,
it's a reminder for anybody studying history that you should
always be suspicious anytime someone gives you a historical
period where
either of the years ends in a zero. [laughter] Usually the only
thing significant about that date is that they took a census
that
year. Often people will give a period, will create a period that
really is not what historians call a period. There's not actually,
there's not a beginning date and an ending date that really mattered.
The Great Migration started in 1916; it's very odd that you
can pinpoint it in that way. And even though the United States
doesn't
enter World War I until the following year, what's happening
in 1916 by the summer, the fall of 1916, is that you are getting
increasing orders, production orders coming from Europe, from
the people who are fighting, for all kinds of things that are
very hard to produce in large enough numbers when you're fighting
a war. And remember, we're still taking stuff across the ocean,
and the American entrance into the war has to do with an American
ship getting fired upon by a German sub.
And the other thing is that by 1916, as opposed to 1914, by 1916
most Americans now expect that the United States is going to get
drawn into this. Which means that American factories, American
factory owners are scratching their heads and realizing that it's
time to start producing things that sell during wartime. And so
you get a gearing up of the American industry.
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